BookmarkSubscribeRSS Feed
ArseneWenger
Fluorite | Level 6

I am trying to introduce AR1 term into my models (lag of dependent variable). It is easy to do for the for the historic period which is lag(y). But I am wondering how to create it for the forecast period (it would actually be the lag of the prediction).  Is ther any SAS procedure or autoreg can do this??  My data looks like:

 

Date                                    Y                            lag(y)                    X1           X2

…                                          .006                      ….                        12           7

Q1 2016                              .005                      .006                      1             3             

Q2 2016                              .004                      .005                      11           7

Q3 2016                              .003                      .004                      8             7

Q4 2016                              .004                      .003                      10           6

Q1 2017                              .                             .004                      12           5

Q2 2017                              .                             .                             11           4

Q3 2017                              .                             .                             10           3

Q4 2017                              .                             .                             11           4

….

 

How do I populate lag(Y) for qtr’s Q2 2017 & beyond so that I can use it in regression??

 

Thanks in advance.

1 REPLY 1
Ksharp
Super User

If you are fitting ARIMA(0,1,0) , you do not need lagged dependent variable as input variable,

PROC ARIMA will do that for you, input variables is for other variables like X1 , X2 rather than autoregression variable.

hackathon24-white-horiz.png

The 2025 SAS Hackathon has begun!

It's finally time to hack! Remember to visit the SAS Hacker's Hub regularly for news and updates.

Latest Updates

What is ANOVA?

ANOVA, or Analysis Of Variance, is used to compare the averages or means of two or more populations to better understand how they differ. Watch this tutorial for more.

Find more tutorials on the SAS Users YouTube channel.

Discussion stats
  • 1 reply
  • 1467 views
  • 0 likes
  • 2 in conversation