I have attached the code I have used to generate the outputs in the pdf below.
I am struggling to find the right statements in my forecasts that would accurately forecast November 2020 and further months.Covid-19 has impacted the data and created a new level starting March 2020 to October 2020. This new level should be the starting point I know but I want to apply this level at the seasonality shown in 2017 through 2019.
All of which routinely shows November and December taking a big dip from October. The drop from October to November in the years 2017 to 2019 is around 6,000. So I would expect to create a forecast that could predict November being between 22k and 25k. I would want to forecast for 12 months and show the trend gradually getting back to pre covid volumes.
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