Hi, just thought I'd update the progress of this analysis, and add on a discussion topic I ended up not using month as a variable, and used "season" instead. It was too onerous to interpret differences between individaul months, and seasonal differences are what I was really interested in on the time side of things. As a nice side effect, this made my model run much more smoothly. This also allowed me to take out period of sampling as a repeated measure, as I figured seasonal differences would be great enough that temporal autocrrelation between seasons wouldn't be a major issue. I also made another decision that could be controversial....if anyone could lend me some advice that would be excellent....: I originally had "stream" as a random block, as multiple measurements were taken per stream and I wanted to account for unexplained within-catchment variability. However, none of the estimated coefficients for individual streams were significantly different than zero. And the "covtest", or test of covariance parmaters, had a p-value of 1, indicating no significant difference from independence. Thus I decided to remove stream as a random block. In the analysis of total nitrogen, this gave equivalent AIC values, an identical model (nonsignificant terms were removed sequentially), and almost identical LSMEANS etc. For the analysis of total phosphorous, however, removing "stream" as a random block resulted in a much smaller AIC (160 units lower!), indicating a more parsimonious model, but the final model ended up being different, as were estimates of coefficients. Importantly, without the random block, there were significant differences between watersheds with different agriculutral intensities, and with the random block, there were not. Not that I am trying to bias my analysis toward the results I want, but I am concerned that leaving in a variable that is apparently nonsignificant is clouding my ability to detect the differences I am interested in. I am thus somewhat torn about whether to remove the random block or not., as I've always been tought to remove non-significant variables, but stream was a design factor (Steve I know you said to keep the design factors!). However, maybe this is telling me that when things like agricultural intesity, ecoregion, runoff, season, etc. are known, nutrient export variation between watersheds is pretty well acounted for... Pre-thanks for any more comments, and sorry for rambling! Madison
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