Feier Han, Zhen Wu, Jing Shang, Yutong Zhang, Emory University
As the population ages with increased life expectancy, the prevalence and incidence of dementia and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) continue to increase. About 5-8% of Americans aged 60 or above are diagnosed with dementia (WHO, 2020), and 6.7-12.5% of them have MCI (Petersen et al., 2018). The increasing prevalence of MCI and dementia has resulted in increasing comorbidities and associated health care expenditures. Moreover, even with comprehensive treatments, MCI and dementia can significantly impact both patients and caregivers quality of life. As such, it is critical to diagnose cognitive impairment and prescribe interventions promptly.
Watch Montreal Cognitive Assessment, Mini-Mental State Examination: Impairment & Dementia Cutoff Points as presented by the author on the SAS Users YouTube channel.
As the population ages with increased life expectancy, the prevalence and incidence of dementia and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) continue to increase. About 5-8% of Americans aged 60 or above are diagnosed with dementia (WHO, 2020), and 6.7-12.5% of them have MCI (Petersen et al., 2018). The increasing prevalence of MCI and dementia has resulted in increasing comorbidities and the associated healthcare expenditure. Moreover, even with comprehensive treatments, MCI and dementia can significantly impact both patients' and caregivers' quality of life. As such, it is critical to diagnose cognitive impairment and prescribe interventions promptly.
A good screening test can significantly improve the efficiency and accuracy of MCI and dementia diagnosis. The Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) are two commonly used cognitive function screening tools specifically developed for screening MCI (Folstein et al., 1975; Nasreddine et al., 2005). Previous studies had investigated the optimal cutoff scores of MMSE and MoCA for MCI and mild Alzheimer’s disease among elderly Chinese veterans (Tan et al., 2015) and in a Singapore population (Ng A et al., 2013) according to age and education level. Additionally, Chapman’s work (2016) focused on a large Alzheimer’s cohort to explore MMSE cutoff thresholds for clinical trials and diagnostic use, also stratified by age and education level. However, these studies were not conducted in the general population and some had a relatively small sample size. It is essential to have a clinically useful diagnostic test for cognitive status in various subgroups.
Our study objectives are 1) to examine MMSE and MoCA's performance in detecting cognitive impairment, and 2) to identify and recommend optimal cutoff points of MMSE and MoCA for self-diagnosis and screening of cognitive impairment status. This study utilized the National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center (NACC) database, which is a large and inclusive database. Given the ample sample size, we investigated the two tests' optimal cutoff points in each subgroup stratified by age, sex, and education level. The findings from our study can be useful for clinical diagnosis and screening of MCI and dementia.
The data were obtained from the NACC website (https://naccdata.org/). The dataset used in this analysis was published in December 2020. Study subjects had to meet the following inclusion criteria to be included in the analysis: 1) had completed a valid MMSE or MoCA test, 2) age 61-90 years. We excluded subjects ≤60 or >90 years of age due to extremely small sample sizes.
In the NACC data, each subject’s cognitive status was defined as one of the four stages: Normal, Cognitively impaired but not MCI, MCI, and Dementia, which was determined by clinicians and the pre-specified criteria for MCI and all-cause dementia (Kukull, 2015).
The selected covariates should be easily accessible and have a strong association with impaired-cognitive impairment risks. Initially, we considered the following variables: age, sex, years of education, smoking history, alcohol abuse, diabetes, hypertension and hypercholesterolemia. The detailed description is provided in Appendix I. For the subsequent analysis, age was categorized into 3 groups based on 10 years interval (61-70, 71-80, 81-90); and years of education was categorized into 4 levels: high school degree or below, some college or bachelor’s degree, graduate school or master’s degree, and doctorate or above. Due to a large amount of missing data in other clinical variables, age, sex, and education were selected to form a total of 24 subgroups for cutoff point investigation.
Descriptive statistics were presented to summarize the characteristics of the study participants, which were used to guide our decision to include or exclude certain variables for further analysis. To assess the test performance of MMSE and MoCA using logistic regression and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), three binary cognitive status variables were created: I: normal vs. cognitively impaired, MCI, or dementia; II: normal or cognitively impaired vs. MCI or dementia; III: normal, cognitively impaired, or MCI vs. dementia. Logistic regression (PROC LOGISTIC) was employed to examine the association between scores of MMSE and MoCA, and cognitive status (dichotomized) in different sub-groups based on age, sex and education level. We compared the change in the area under the ROC curve (AUC) between models with MMSE or MoCA, age, sex, and education and the model with age, sex and education only. The optimal cutoff points were estimated by maximizing the Youden Index (Youden, 1950; Goddard and Hinberg,1990) and minimizing the distance to (0,1) point (Perkins and Schisterman, 2005) of the ROC curve. In case the maximum Youden Index and minimum distance indicated different cutoff points, we chose the one with higher sensitivity. SAS macro was applied to efficiently repeat the analysis and calculate optimal cutoff points for different subgroups. All the analyses were performed using SAS version 9.4 (Cary, NC).
A total of 120,099 subjects (57.78% female) were included in the analysis: 58,886(49.03%) had normal cognitive function, 5,871(4.89%) had Cognitively impaired but not MCI, 22,256(18.53%) had MCI, and 33,086(27.55%) were diagnosed with dementia. The sample sizes for subjects who took MMSE or MoCA were 98,617 and 33,752, respectively. The mean and standard deviation (SD) of age and education years were 75.80 (SD=7.37) years and 15.42 (SD=3.31) years, respectively. The mean scores of both MMSE and MoCA in subjects with dementia appeared to be significantly different from those with other cognitive status. Based on Table 1, we excluded diabetes, smoking history, alcohol abuse, hypertension and hypercholesterolemia in our subgroup stratification due to small numbers of subject with available data and unbalanced distribution.
Table 1. Summary of study subject’s characteristics in the NACC database
Cognitive Status |
Total Frequency 120,099 |
Normal 58,886 (49.03%) |
Impaired-not-MCI 5,871 (4.89%) |
MCI 22,256 (18.53%) |
Dementia 33,086 (27.55%) |
MMSE 25.57(5.97) |
86,348 |
28.91 (1.46) |
28.03 (2.20) |
27.07 (2.52) |
19.27 (7.04) |
MOCA 23.33(5.80) |
33,752 |
26.37 (2.75) |
24.73 (3.36) |
22.57 (3.50) |
14.92 (6.17) |
Age 75.80(7.37) |
120,099 |
75.20 (7.25) |
75.26 (7.14) |
76.33 (7.24) |
76.61 (7.59) |
Education Years 15.42(3.31) |
119,721 |
15.89 (3.00) |
15.20 (3.63) |
15.36 (3.36) |
14.69 (3.64) |
Sex: Female 69,394 (57.78%) |
120,099 |
20,299 (34.47%) |
2,550 (43.43%) |
11,045 (49.63%) |
16,811 (50.81%) |
Diabetes 5,418 (14.26%) |
37,982 |
2,862 (13.42%) |
276 (14.79%) |
1,276 (17.65%) |
1,004 (13.82%) |
Smoking History 40,920 (46.63%) |
87,762 |
18,922 (47.11%) |
2,256 (52.39%) |
7,883 (47.00%) |
11,859 (44.72%) |
Alcohol Abuse 5,104 (5.65%) |
90,322 |
1,568 (3.82) |
371 (8.47%) |
1,025 (5.96%) |
2,140 (7.73%) |
Hypertension 19,620 (51.58%) |
38,037 |
10,689 (49.33%) |
1,096 (58.61%) |
4096 (56.54%) |
3739 (51.54%) |
Hypercholesterolemia 21,083 (55.87%) |
37,734 |
11,669 (54.28%) |
1,036 (55.55%) |
4,285 (59.68%) |
4093 (56.90%) |
*mean (standard deviation) and frequency count (percentage) are reported for continuous and categorical variables, respectively
Table 2 illustrates the AUC for each model of cognitive status (defined as three different binary outcome variables) with baseline covariates (including age, education, and sex) and with the additional MMSE/MoCA test (i.e., age, education, sex, and MMSE or MoCA). After adding MMSE, the AUC increased by 23-31%, which were considered as clinically significant (Fan & Worster, 2006). The most substantial increase in AUC after adding MMSE or MoCA was for the outcome: MCI vs. Dementia (31.06% and 31.82% respectively). The ROC curves corresponding to Table 2 are shown in Appendix III.
Table 2. Area under the ROC curves for comparisons between models with Age, Education and Sex, and models after adding MMSE/MoCA
AUC |
Independent Variables |
I |
II |
III |
MMSE |
Age, Education, Sex |
63.77% |
63.68% |
62.92% |
Age, Education, Sex, MMSE |
86.61% |
88.19% |
93.98% |
|
Difference in AUC |
+22.84% |
+24.51% |
+31.06% |
|
MoCA |
Age, Education, Sex |
62.33% |
62.56% |
62.28% |
Age, Education, Sex, MoCA |
86.65% |
88.74% |
94.10% |
|
Difference in AUC |
+24.32% |
+26.18% |
+31.82% |
* I: normal vs. cognitively impaired, MCI, or dementia; II: normal or cognitively impaired vs. MCI or dementia; III: normal, cognitively impaired, or MCI vs. dementia
The overall sensitivity, specificity and AUC were 71.7%/75.9%/87.3%, 86.3%/84.8%/85.7% and 86.0%/87.63%/93.7% for MMSE (without covariate adjustment) and 78.2%/82.9%/85.1%, 79.2%/77.4%/86.9%, 79.2%/77.4%/86.9% and 86.2%/88.2%/93.7% for MoCA in detecting 1) cognitively impaired, MCI, or dementia, 2) MCI or dementia, and 3) dementia, respectively. These statistics were further examined within each subgroup of subjects, stratified by age, sex, and education level (a total of 24 subgroups, results not shown). Table 3 shows the averaged sensitivity, specificity and AUC: 78.2%, 83.9% and 88.1% for MMSE and 80.6%, 81.2% and 88.3% for MoCA. Importantly, focusing on dementia diagnosis, the sensitivity and specificity achieved 85.4%, 87.4% for MMSE and 86.3%, 85.5% for MoCA respectively.
Table 3 Sensitivity, specificity and AUC of MMSE and MoCA for different cognitive statuses in subgroups based on age, sex, education years
Test |
MMSE |
MoCA |
||||||
Cognitive Status |
I |
II |
III |
Mean |
I |
II |
III |
Mean |
Sensitivity |
73.0% |
76.1% |
85.4% |
78.2% |
76.1% |
79.4% |
86.3% |
80.6% |
Specificity |
82.2% |
82.1% |
87.4% |
83.9% |
79.1% |
79.0% |
85.5% |
81.2% |
AUC |
84.6% |
86.5% |
93.3% |
88.2% |
84.9% |
86.9% |
93.1% |
88.3% |
* I: normal vs. cognitively impaired, MCI, or dementia; II: normal or cognitively impaired vs. MCI or dementia; III: normal, cognitively impaired, or MCI vs. dementia
Table 4 shows optimal cutoff points of MMSE and MoCA for each subgroup. The differences in optimal points between cognition impairment and MCI appeared to be negligible, whereas the differences were significant for dementia diagnosis. For MMSE, the optimal cutoff points were different between the education level below and above high-school, but the differences across age and sex were minimal. For MoCA, the optimal cutoff points exhibited little difference between females and males. On the other hand, age and education level appeared to affect the optimal cutoff points.
Table 4 The MMSE and MoCA optimal cutoff points in different subgroups defined by age, sex, and education level
MMSE |
Male |
Female |
||||
AGE (years) |
61-70 |
71-80 |
81-90 |
61-70 |
71-80 |
81-90 |
High School or Below |
26/26/24 |
26/25/24 |
25/25/24 |
27/27/25 |
26/26/24 |
25/25/24 |
Bachelor degree or equivalent |
28/27/26 |
27/27/26 |
27/27/25 |
28/28/26 |
28/28/26 |
27/27/26 |
Master degree or equivalent |
28/28/27 |
28/28/26 |
27/27/26 |
28/28/27 |
28/28/27 |
28/28/26 |
Doctoral degree or above |
28/28/27 |
28/27/27 |
27/27/26 |
28/28/28 |
28/28/27 |
28/28/26 |
MMSE |
Male |
Female |
||||
AGE (years) |
61-70 |
71-80 |
81-90 |
61-70 |
71-80 |
81-90 |
High School or Below |
24/24/19 |
22/22/19 |
20/20/18 |
23/23/19 |
22/22/19 |
20/20/18 |
Bachelor degree or equivalent |
24/23/22 |
23/23/21 |
22/22/20 |
24/24/22 |
24/23/21 |
23/23/20 |
Master degree or equivalent |
25/25/23 |
24/24/22 |
24/24/21 |
25/25/23 |
25/25/23 |
24/24/21 |
Doctoral degree or above |
26/25/23 |
25/25/22 |
24/24/22 |
26/25/24 |
25/25/22 |
25/25/23 |
* The numbers in each cell refers to the optimal cutoff point to differentiate I: normal vs. cognitively impaired, MCI, or dementia; II: normal or cognitively impaired vs. MCI or dementia; III: normal, cognitively impaired, or MCI vs. dementia
This study findings suggest the necessity of applying personalized cut-off points in MMSE and MoCA tests. On top of age, sex, and education, both MMSE and MoCA are extremely helpful in testing cognitive status based on the substantial change in AUC. Specifically, these tests demonstrated greatest increase in AUC for the outcome of dementia, indicating that they may be more useful for dementia than impaired cognitive function or MCI. The sensitivity and specificity shared the same trend with AUC, could be a more powerful proof of our conjecture. In addition, we also presented the optimal cutoff points in a population 61 to 90 years old, stratified by sex and education level. However, most of the cutoff-points are similar for diagnosing impaired and MCI, suggesting that these tests are not sensitive to these characteristics in cognition impairment or MCI screening and may serve as a more efficient diagnostic tool for dementia.
Although Tan et al. (2015) and Ng A et al. (2013) have studied the similar topic, the comparison between their works and ours may not be powerful enough due to the difference in sample size and study population. Even we used the same database as Chapman et al’s work (2016), our study considered age, education, and sex as covariates and created subgroups. In addition, the previous study treated MCI and dementia as two distinct diseases, while we considered impaired, MCI and dementia as an ordinal variable (though three separate binary variables were used in analysis). Given these differences in our analysis strategies, the sensitivity and specificity in Chapman’s work could be greater than ours. The exclusion of impaired cognitive function and the distinction of MCI and dementia may significantly enhance the positive predictive values of the test. Although our work failed to improve the previously reported sensitivity and specificity, the consideration of covariates and subgroups can make these tests more practical in real life.
Overall, our findings suggested that the sensitivity and specificity of MMSE and MoCA can vary depending on subject’s characteristics, thus implying that using a personalized test cutoff may be more effective in the diagnosis of cognitive function than a single universal cutoff.
Our study has some limitations. First, given the fact that only one of the NACC study subjects had both MMSE and MoCA data, the increases in AUC after accounting for age, sex, and education are not directly comparable between MMSE and MoCA. Future studies may wish to further investigate the test performance of MoCA and MMSE in the detection of cognitive impairment and dementia across various subgroups in the general population. Second, depression was not considered in our analysis. Andersen, et al. (2020) suggested that depression could usually coexist with Alzheimer and may even accelerate the course of Alzheimer. The manifestation of depression could often be confused with early preference of dementia, which may cause difficulty in diagnosing dementia from depression. Since depression was not routinely screened in this dataset, we did not consider depression or exclude those with depression in our analysis. We believe that the findings could be more generalized to real world settings. Lastly, due to a relatively small group with impaired cognitive function, our results showed difficulty of MMSE/MoCA in diagnosing Impaired. Future studies may wish to recruit more participants with impaired cognitive function.
Feier Han feier.han@emory.edu Jing Shang jing.shang@emory.edu
Zhen Wu zhen.wu@emory.edu Yutong Zhang yutong.zhang@emory.edu
We would like to acknowledge Dr Yi-An Ko for being our advisor. Her valuable and constructive suggestions have been very much appreciated.
Appendix I Related Variable Description
Variables |
Descriptions |
NACCUDSD |
The subject’s cognitive status with a clinical diagnosis at each visit. NACCUDSD=1: Subjects with normal cognition; NACCUDSD=2: Subjects who are cognitively impaired but who do not meet the criteria for mild cognitive status; NACCUDSD=3: Subjects with amnestic or non-amnestic mild cognitive status; NACCUDSD=4: Subjects with dementia |
NACCMOCA |
MoCA Total Score corrected for Education: 0 - 30 = Correct Test results 88 = Item(s) or whole test not administered 99 = Years of education missing/unknown -4 = Not available: UDS form submitted did not collect data in this way, or a skip pattern precludes response to this question |
NACCMMSE |
Total MMSE score (using D-L-R-O-W) 0 – 30 = Correct Test results; 88 = Score not calculated; missing at least one MMSE item; 95 = Physical problem; 96 = Cognitive/behavior problem 97 = Other problem; 98 = Verbal refusal; -4 = Not available: UDS form submitted did not collect data in this way, or a skip pattern precludes response to this question |
EDUC |
Subject’s years of education: 12 = high school or below, 16 = bachelor’s degree, 18 = master’s degree, 20 = doctorate or above. |
SEX |
Subject’s sex: 1 = Male; 2 = Female |
AGE |
Subject’s age derived from detracting “BIRTHYR” from “VISITYR” BIRTHYR: Subject’s year of birth VISITYR: Visit year comes from the date Form A1 was completed. |
SMOKYRS |
Total years smoked cigarettes |
ALCOHOL |
Subject with alcohol abuse occurring over a 12-month period with clinical diagnose. 0 = No; 1 = Yes |
DIABET |
Subject with diabetes present at visit: 0 = No; 1 = Yes |
HYPERT |
Subject with hypertension present: 0 = No, 1 = Yes |
HYPERCHOL |
Hypercholesterolemia present: 0 = No, 1 = Yes |
Appendix II, The ROC Curves for comparisons between combined age, education level, sex and after adding MMSE/MoCA
MMSE |
MoCA |
|
I: normal vs. cognitively impaired, MCI, or dementia |
|
|
II: normal or cognitively impaired vs. MCI or dementia |
|
|
III: normal, cognitively impaired, or MCI vs. dementia |
|
|
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